Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.201965 0.229885 0.259850 0.294353 0.332934 0.374694 0.423266
2025-11-30 0.166939 0.204729 0.247998 0.301024 0.364066 0.436419 0.525536
2025-12-07 0.139195 0.182124 0.234094 0.301257 0.385328 0.486623 0.617400
2025-12-14 0.118462 0.164238 0.222467 0.301312 0.404529 0.534204 0.708475
2025-12-21 0.102685 0.150054 0.213064 0.302020 0.423185 0.581105 0.800879
2025-12-28 0.091422 0.140152 0.207651 0.306583 0.446182 0.634127 0.903825
2026-01-04 0.083109 0.133144 0.205064 0.314120 0.472978 0.693142 1.017795
2026-01-11 0.074823 0.125020 0.199759 0.316782 0.492406 0.742470 1.120625
2026-01-18 0.068538 0.119108 0.196906 0.322384 0.515917 0.798350 1.235338
2026-01-25 0.063829 0.115079 0.196360 0.331102 0.544217 0.862312 1.364835
2026-02-01 0.057667 0.107905 0.190060 0.330037 0.557042 0.903504 1.462184
2026-02-08 0.052326 0.101487 0.184287 0.329113 0.569634 0.944544 1.560892
2026-02-15 0.047230 0.095096 0.178216 0.327587 0.581786 0.986633 1.665395
2026-02-22 0.044115 0.091945 0.177375 0.334744 0.608563 1.053238 1.812097
2026-03-01 0.040261 0.086949 0.172773 0.334902 0.623418 1.101253 1.931335
2026-03-08 0.036812 0.082318 0.168355 0.334911 0.637812 1.149036 2.052380
2026-03-15 0.033828 0.078255 0.164573 0.335663 0.653361 1.199326 2.179835
2026-03-22 0.031651 0.075595 0.163187 0.340667 0.676677 1.263834 2.334216
2026-03-29 0.030029 0.073924 0.163551 0.348947 0.706351 1.340673 2.513198
2026-04-05 0.027986 0.071080 0.161285 0.351870 0.726123 1.400925 2.665950
2026-04-12 0.026433 0.069157 0.160707 0.358026 0.752259 1.473647 2.843824
2026-04-19 0.025308 0.068092 0.161811 0.367606 0.785452 1.560592 3.050825
2026-04-26 0.023353 0.064810 0.157865 0.366435 0.797467 1.609127 3.190328